Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Tripoli		Tadamon Sour

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.08	3.1	3.1
	2.12	3.04	3.08
	2.22	3.22	3.07	Watch
	2.07	2.95	3
	2.16	3.1	3.1
	2.11	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tripoli
42.1%

Draw
28.8%

Tadamon Sour
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tripoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tadamon Sour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Tripoli - Tadamon Sour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Zayyat F. ⚽, Lukasi P. (A),
23', Sefah M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Enebi M. ⚽, Soumare B. (A),
73', Hallak Khoder 🟥,
79', 1 - 2, Lukasi P. ⚽, Saab K. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage: )).

Tripoli may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tripoli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tadamon	4	3	1	0	10:5	5	10
5	Tripoli	4	2	1	1	7:3	4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Tripoli
Lebanese Premier League
18.10.26	Al-Mabarrah - Tripoli	0:3 ✺
13.10.26	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Tripoli - Al-Ahed	1:1 ✺
19.02.16	Al-Ansar - Tripoli	2:0 ✺
AFC Cup
09.02.16	Tripoli - Alay Osh	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTLW
- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
17.10.26	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	4:1 ✺
12.10.26	Nejmeh - Tadamon Sour	3:3 ✺
08.10.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Tadamon Sour	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Al-Abbassieh - Tadamon Sour	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWLW

Tripoli - Tadamon Sour