Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tritium		Sammaurese

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Tritium
32.8%

Draw
28.1%

Sammaurese
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

21.2%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tritium that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sammaurese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 8).

Recent matches Tritium is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sammaurese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sammaurese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sammaurese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Tritium - Prato	3:2 ✺
14.11.21	Forlì - Tritium	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Tritium - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Bagnolese - Tritium	3:1 ✺
24.10.21	Tritium - Seravezza Pozzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLL
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Sammaurese - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
13.11.21	Prato - Sammaurese	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Sammaurese - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Sasso Marconi - Sammaurese	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Sammaurese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLTW

Tritium - Sammaurese