Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday


	Trival Valderas		Flat Earth

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.65	2.5
	2.7	2.88	2.33
	3.05	2.9	2.29
	2.98	2.7	2.64
	2.93	2.74	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.3)	2.77 ↓ (3.2)	2.48 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
31.2%

Draw
32.5%

Flat Earth
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

28%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.6%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Flat Earth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flat Earth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trival Valderas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flat Earth than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flat Earth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trival Valderas - Flat Earth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Trival Valderas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Flat Earth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Trival Valderas have a series of guest games.

Recently Flat Earth have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trival Valderas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.05.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
18.04.21	Torrejón - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Trival Valderas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Flat Earth - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Trival Valderas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTL
- Flat Earth FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.05.21	Flat Earth - Parla	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Flat Earth - Carabanchel	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Parla - Flat Earth	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Flat Earth - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Flat Earth - Paracuellos Antamira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.04.21	Flat Earth - Trival Valderas	0:0
01.12.19	Flat Earth - Trival Valderas	0:1

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