Match Info

Druga NL - Round 14

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Trnje Zagreb		Grobničan

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.35	2.72
	2.10	3.47	3.04	Watch
	2.28	3.32	2.77
	2.1	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trnje Zagreb
41.7%

Draw
26.9%

Grobničan
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trnje Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Grobničan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobničan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Trnje Zagreb - Grobničan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Pilcic D. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Gataric N. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Vracar L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Kosic L. 🟥,
69', 3 - 1, Vracar L. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Vracar L. ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, Vajdovcic F. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Druga NL (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trnje won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Grobničan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Grobničan has had a series of away games.

Trnje will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trnje won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trnje won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
14.11.25	Kustošija - Trnje Zagreb	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Trnje Zagreb - Uskok Klis	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Bjelovar - Trnje Zagreb	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Trnje Zagreb - Segesta	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Trnje Zagreb - Radnik Križevci	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLT
- NK Grobničan
Croatian Druga NL
16.11.25	Grobničan - Dugo Selo	1:1 ✺
12.11.25	Radnik Križevci - Grobničan	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lučko - Grobničan	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Kustošija - Grobničan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Uskok Klis - Grobničan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
03.05.25	Grobničan - Trnje Zagreb	1:0
02.11.24	Trnje Zagreb - Grobničan	0:1
31.05.24	Grobničan - Trnje Zagreb	3:0
25.11.23	Trnje Zagreb - Grobničan	1:0
13.05.23	Trnje Zagreb - Grobničan	0:3
05.11.22	Grobničan - Trnje Zagreb	2:0

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