Match Info

Druga NL - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Trnje Zagreb		Segesta

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.6	2.68
	2.85	3.50	2.19	Watch
	2.23	3.52	2.74
	2.8	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.85)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	2.44 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trnje Zagreb
36.4%

Draw
26%

Segesta
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.1%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trnje Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Segesta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trnje Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Segesta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trnje Zagreb - Segesta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Segesta has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trnje won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Trnje won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
18.10.25	Trnje Zagreb - Radnik Križevci	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Trnje Zagreb - Đakovo Croatia	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Trnje Zagreb - Varteks Varazdin	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Trnje Zagreb	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLT
- HNK Segesta
Croatian Druga NL
18.10.25	Segesta - Dugo Selo	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Segesta - Grobničan	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Segesta - Kustošija	1:4 ✺
27.09.25	Uskok Klis - Segesta	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Segesta - Bjelovar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
10.09.24	Trnje Zagreb - Segesta	2:2
Croatian 3 HNL Center
06.10.21	Trnje Zagreb - Segesta	2:1
07.04.21	Trnje Zagreb - Segesta	2:1

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