Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.00	2.37
	2.80	3.00	2.33
	2.94	3.12	2.47
	2.85	3.23	2.45	Watch
	2.90	3.05	2.40
	2.84	3.04	2.38
	2.70	3.00	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.4 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
32.3%

Draw
29.7%

Leça
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Trofense - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Balde M. (G) 70. Peixoto R. 4. Vale J. 50. Silva T. 21. Oliveira T. 6. Ufala S. 8. Teixeira P. 11. Kiki 30. Feliz (C) 17. Luis Miguel 32. Gunjo J.	1. Paiva M. (G) 23. Ribeiro D. 14. Maneta D. 41. Cassio Scheid 22. Coutinho A. 21. Avelino C. 20. Ferreira R. 33. Pereira D. 10. Reis N. 7. Diego Fernandes 11. Mesquita B.
Substitutes
65. Gomes A. 77. Juninho 39. Kaua Souza 9. Kevyn Santos 3. Lucca Carvalho 1. Moura R. (G) 28. Nunes D. 89. Nuninho 7. Oliveira J.	88. Augusto T. 27. Daniel Bruno (G) 31. David Rebelo 66. Jurjonas E. 18. Miranda M. 5. Nunes D. 16. Sousa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Reis N. ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
14', Gunjo J. 🟨,
22', 1 - 2, Gunjo J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 3, Maneta D. ⚽,
44', Gunjo J. 🟨,
44', Feliz 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Luis Miguel 🟨,
57', 🟨,
64', Kiki ↓, Nuninho ↑,
67', Ufala S. 🟨,
67', Pereira D. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
80', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ))

Trofense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leça may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
05.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Varzim - Trofense	5:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Trofense - São João de Ver	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Vianense - Trofense	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLL
- Leça FC
Portuguese Liga 3
06.09.26	Leça - Fafe	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Leça	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Leça - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.06.26	Leça - Vitória de Sernache	2:1 penalties ✺
31.05.26	Leça - Bragança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.21	Trofense - Leça	0:1
20.09.20	Leça - Trofense	0:0
08.03.20	Trofense - Leça	2:3
27.10.19	Leça - Trofense	0:0

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