Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Trofense		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.87	2.35
	2.75	2.85	2.48
	3.32	3.08	2.41
	2.96	2.92	2.56	Watch
	3.20	3.00	2.35
	3.09	2.88	2.33
	2.85	2.80	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.56)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)	2.41 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
30.5%

Draw
31.5%

Varzim
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trofense's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Trofense - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Balde M. (G) 21. Oliveira T. 50. Silva T. 83. Oliveira W. 7. Oliveira J. 6. Ufala S. 28. Pereira Nunes D. R. 65. Gomes A. 30. Feliz 19. Diarra M. 89. Nuninho (C)	49. Costa P. (G) 17. Filipe L. 26. Ruben 4. Kaua Vinicius 19. Morais Guedes A. 27. Boloto 55. Rebelo D. 8. Oliveira R. (C) 95. Sousa V. 99. Silva F. 25. Couto J.
Substitutes
77. Andrade M. (G) 25. Fernandes H. 32. Gunjo J. 11. Kiki 10. Lopes L. 1. Moura R. (G) 70. Peixoto R.	11. Benchi D. 28. Gustavo Ramalho (G) 13. Jordao 10. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 3. Nuno P. 9. Pereira R. 7. Serra Matos P. M. 18. Stitch 44. Vila Cova M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Boloto 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Rebelo D. ⚽, Couto J. (A),
45+1', Diarra M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sousa V. 🟨,
62', Rebelo D. ↓, Jordao ↑,
62', Couto J. ↓, Serra Matos P. M. ↑,
62', Gomes A. ↓, Kiki ↑,
69', Feliz ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
69', Diarra M. ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
81', Oliveira J. ↓, Peixoto R. ↑,
83', Boloto ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
83', Filipe L. ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
86', Silva F. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
90', Ufala S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3.

Varzim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Trofense - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	AVS - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.05.26	Académica Coimbra - Trofense	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Trofense - Amarante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLTT
- Varzim SC
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Tirsense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.05.26	União de Santarém - Varzim	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Varzim - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.04.26	Trofense - Varzim	0:1
21.02.26	Varzim - Trofense	2:0
20.12.25	Varzim - Trofense	0:1
11.10.25	Trofense - Varzim	2:1
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	Trofense - Varzim	5:1
Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Varzim - Trofense	2:1
06.10.24	Trofense - Varzim	3:2

Trofense - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide