Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: TUIL arena (Tromsø)


	Tromsdalen		Gjøvik-Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.25	13
	1.12	7.5	15
	1.17	7.09	12.82
	1.11	7.55	16
	1.12	7.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.34)	7.38 ↑ (5)	14.36 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsdalen
81.2%

Draw
12.4%

Gjøvik-Lyn
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

17.3%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsdalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsdalen's performance.

Gjøvik-Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gjøvik-Lyn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsdalen than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsdalen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gjøvik-Lyn than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gjøvik-Lyn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Tollefsen M. (G) 10. Egerton E. 22. Eliassen A. 5. Hafstad T. 6. Hansen M. 23. Larsen M. 4. Laugsand S. (C) 21. Ness E. 14. Pedersen S. 20. Selnes I. K. 8. Skogvoll E.	1. Veloso R. (C) 5. Bjornhaug Remy A. 6. Hastadklev A. 4. Jansen P. 22. Kaddour M. 15. Karlsson J. 18. Nihorimbere A. 14. Opsahl M. 7. Sandberg O. 9. Tveten L. 11. Volden M.
Substitutes
24. Breivik C. 27. Celius U. R. 9. Hafstad D. 3. Haugen E. 1. Kamsvag K. (G) 31. Kristoffersen O. 26. Ottesen M. 19. Pedersen A. 15. Weber J.	13. Berge A. 10. Helan J. 25. Skattum-Dahl T. 24. Slatten E. 23. Wirkestad T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Skogvoll E. ⚽,
17', Hansen M. ↓, Weber J. ↑,
21', Bjornhaug Remy A. 🟨,
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Karlsson J. 🟨,
58', Skogvoll E. 🟨,
66', Bjornhaug Remy A. 🟨,
74', Selnes I. K. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Egerton E. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Hafstad D. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, Egerton E. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 11).

Recent matches Tromsdalen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gjøvik-Lyn is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gjøvik-Lyn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tromsdalen is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tromsdalen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsdalen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsdalen Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
04.05.24	Stjørdals-Blink - Tromsdalen	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Tromsdalen - Viking Stavanger	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
28.04.24	Tromsdalen - Alta	4:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Tromsdalen - Lyn	3:1 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
21.04.24	Grorud - Tromsdalen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWWL
- SK Gjøvik-Lyn
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
05.05.24	Gjøvik-Lyn - Vålerenga 2	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Eidsvold Turn - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Gjøvik-Lyn - Strindheim	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Kjelsås - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Hønefoss - Gjøvik-Lyn	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
12.08.23	Tromsdalen - Gjøvik-Lyn	3:0
18.06.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Tromsdalen	0:3
24.09.22	Tromsdalen - Gjøvik-Lyn	0:2
06.06.22	Gjøvik-Lyn - Tromsdalen	1:0

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