The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tromsø 2 56.8%
Draw 18.7%
Lillestrøm 2 24.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.1%
19%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
17.2%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tromsø 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø 2 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsø 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tromsø 2 - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Bjerkaas E. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Hristov N. ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th in the Relegation and 9th).
In recent outings, Tromsø 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lillestrøm 2 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lillestrøm 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Lillestrøm 2 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Tromsø 2 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tromsø 2 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:12 (averaging 2:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tromsø 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).
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