Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 20

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Tromsø 2		Kongsvinger 2

	1	X	2
	1.41	5.00	5.00
	1.14	7.2	9.2
	1.14	7.66	8.87
	1.22	7	8.2	Watch
	1.14	7.1	9.05
	1.12	7.8	10.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.71)	6.96 ↑ (4.54)	8.42 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø 2
76.1%

Draw
13.1%

Kongsvinger 2
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

20.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

20%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsø 2's performance.

Kongsvinger 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongsvinger 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø 2 than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsø 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger 2 than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tromsø 2 - Kongsvinger 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Asan S. M. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Osuji V. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Bjerkaas E. ⚽,
42', 4 - 0, Elvebu A. L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 5 - 0, Grundt J. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 0, Karlstrom W. ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 11th).

Tromsø 2 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kongsvinger 2 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tromsø 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Tromsø 2 for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tromsø 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kongsvinger 2	22	9	2	11	42:61	-19	29
12	Tromso 2	22	5	6	11	42:42	0	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
14.09.26	Skjetten - Tromsø 2	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tromsø 2 - Harstad	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Skedsmo - Tromsø 2	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Strømsgodset 2 - Tromsø 2	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tromsø 2 - Ulfstind	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWL
- Kongsvinger 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
13.09.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Fløya	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	Skjervøy - Kongsvinger 2	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Ulfstind	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Strømsgodset 2	2:3 ✺
03.08.26	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
22.05.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Tromsø 2	2:1

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