The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tropezón 70.8%
Draw 19.8%
Colindres 9.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
20.6%
10.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
19.4%
9.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tropezón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Colindres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Tropezón - Colindres Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Tropezón have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Colindres is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Colindres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tropezón is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tropezón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tropezón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.