Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Guarnizo		Colindres

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	4.75
	1.7	3.4	4.9
	1.69	3.43	4.91
	1.64	3.34	5.2
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.4 (3.4)	4.9 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarnizo
54.6%

Draw
26.8%

Colindres
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Colindres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colindres than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Guarnizo - Colindres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 2.

Guarnizo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Colindres has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Guarnizo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guarnizo is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Guarnizo	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guarnizo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.01.26	Guarnizo - Laredo	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Guarnizo - Bezana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Torina - Guarnizo	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Guarnizo - Barquereño	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Guarnizo - Castro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWWW
- CD Colindres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.01.26	Colindres - Selaya	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Colindres - Laredo	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Bezana - Colindres	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Colindres - Torina	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Barquereño - Colindres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
20.09.25	Colindres - Guarnizo	1:1
15.02.25	Guarnizo - Colindres	2:0
06.10.24	Colindres - Guarnizo	0:0
06.04.24	Guarnizo - Colindres	2:0
18.11.23	Colindres - Guarnizo	1:1
29.01.22	Guarnizo - Colindres	2:4
03.10.21	Colindres - Guarnizo	0:3

Guarnizo - Colindres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide