Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Trujillo		Castuera

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.38	3.92
	1.78	3.38	3.92
	1.8	3.4	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.02)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	3.93 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillo
50.5%

Draw
26.6%

Castuera
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trujillo's performance.

Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Trujillo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trujillo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Trujillo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.11.23	Moralo - Trujillo	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Trujillo - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Olivenza - Trujillo	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Trujillo - Jerez	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Montehermoso - Trujillo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLWL
- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.11.23	Castuera - Coria	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Calamonte - Castuera	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Castuera	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Castuera - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Villafranca - Castuera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.08.17	Trujillo - Castuera	2:0

Trujillo - Castuera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide