Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Trujillo		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.8
	2.24	3.2	2.95
	2.25	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.25)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.85 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillo
40.5%

Draw
27.6%

Arroyo
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.8%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Trujillo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Trujillo - Arroyo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trujillo won 2.

Trujillo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arroyo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Trujillo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Trujillo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Trujillo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.03.25	Llerenense - Trujillo	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	Trujillo - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Jerez - Trujillo	4:0 ✺
23.02.25	Trujillo - Santa Amalia	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Calamonte - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTT
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.03.25	Arroyo - Pueblonuevo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	CD Extremadura - Arroyo	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Jaraíz - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Arroyo - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.11.24	Arroyo - Trujillo	0:2
28.03.24	Arroyo - Trujillo	1:1
12.11.23	Trujillo - Arroyo	0:0
26.02.23	Arroyo - Trujillo	1:0
23.10.22	Trujillo - Arroyo	1:0
30.01.22	Arroyo - Trujillo	2:1
26.09.21	Trujillo - Arroyo	0:0

Trujillo - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide