Match Info

Date: 11 August 2020, Tuesday


	Tsarsko Selo Sofia		Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.25
				Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.3
	2.21	3.28	3.33
	2.15	3.2	3.25
	2.11	3.3	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	3.34 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tsarsko Selo Sofia
43.8%

Draw
28.6%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

20.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tsarsko Selo Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tsarsko Selo Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tsarsko Selo Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	34.4%	12.5%

Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Tsarsko Selo will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Etar will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsarsko Selo: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Tsarsko Selo have a series of home games.

Recently Etar have a series of guest games.

Tsarsko Selo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsarsko Selo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tsarsko Selo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tsarsko Selo Sofia
Club Friendly
29.07.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.07.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
13.07.20	Dunav Ruse - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0 ✺
09.07.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:3 ✺
02.07.20	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL
- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Club Friendly
31.07.20	Botev Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:0 ✺
25.07.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lovech	3:1 ✺
22.07.20	Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0 ✺
19.07.20	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.07.20	Botev Plovdiv - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.06.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:1
06.12.19	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:2
16.08.19	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:1
Club Friendly
17.11.18	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.05.17	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0

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