Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora)

Referee: Zanev I. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Beroe Stara Zagora		Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.63	3.75	5	Watch
	1.64	3.6	6.01
	1.65	3.54	6.01
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.65	3.68	5.36	Watch
	1.58	3.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	3.62 ↑ (3.49)	5.55 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beroe Stara Zagora
57.4%

Draw
25.8%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.4%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Etar will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beroe: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia Accinelli R. (G) 14. Valkov V. 18. Salomoni J. 6. Govea J. (C) 10. Touma G. 98. Camara R. 24. Gavrilov S. 15. Espinoza E. 11. Caetano W. 22. Villa S. 91. Triboulet V.	12. Sekulic K. (G) 5. Guessoum K. 33. Cordova 4. Aleksandrov G. (C) 77. Nikolov M. 17. Atanasov A. 6. Larrucea G. 13. Lutumba-Pitah D. 18. Gonzalez J. 10. Knezevic L. 19. Mishov A.
Substitutes
12. Akinjogunla T. 1. Arthur (G) 8. Esteban-Silgo J. 20. Pachame S. 9. Sagardia F. 16. Stanchev D. 21. Yordanov D. 3. Yovkov S. 7. Zanetti F.	11. Belaliev K. 20. Clifford J. 26. Kolev D. 1. Martinov A. (G) 8. Moran M. 7. Stanev K. 94. Tiboue J. 2. Van Rankin J. 9. Vasilev I.
Coaches
Acciari J.	Petrov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Larrucea G. 🟨,
16', Gavrilov S. 🟨,
30', Caetano W. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Villa S. ⚽,
34', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Villa S. ⚽, Govea J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guessoum K. ↓, Van Rankin J. ↑,
46', Mishov A. ↓, Vasilev I. ↑,
50', Larrucea G. 🟨,
54', Atanasov A. ↓, Moran M. ↑,
61', Camara R. ↓, Pachame S. ↑,
65', Knezevic L. ↓, Tiboue J. ↑,
77', Caetano W. ↓, Esteban-Silgo J. ↑,
77', Touma G. ↓, Zanetti F. ↑,
78', Vasilev I. 🟨,
84', Lutumba-Pitah D. ↓, Stanev K. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Esteban-Silgo J. ⚽, Espinoza E. (A),
90+3', Valkov V. ↓, Yovkov S. ↑,
90+3', Villa S. ↓, Sagardia F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beroe won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Beroe is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Beroe won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Beroe won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.04.24	Levski Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
09.04.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
04.04.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Botev Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
31.03.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTLLW
- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.04.24	Botev Vratsa - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:0 ✺
02.04.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Arda Kardzhali	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
11.12.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.08.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:2
12.04.21	Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:2
Club Friendly
20.01.21	Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.10.20	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:3
Club Friendly
22.07.20	Beroe Stara Zagora - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0

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