Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA WESTFALEN - ROUND 16

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	TuS Erndtebrück		09 Dortmund

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.33	1.51
	4.1	4.2	1.5
	4.6	4.1	1.49
	3.88	4.44	1.7
	4.2	4.2	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (4.18)	4.25 ↑ (4.15)	1.57 (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuS Erndtebrück
21.2%

Draw
21.2%

09 Dortmund
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

21.6%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuS Erndtebrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

09 Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuS Erndtebrück than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 09 Dortmund than the current prediction. (+1%)

TuS Erndtebrück - 09 Dortmund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erndtebrück won 2.

Erndtebrück is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ASC 09 Dortmund is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

ASC 09 Dortmund could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match ASC 09 Dortmund is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Erndtebrück won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Erndtebrück won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Erndtebrück
German Oberliga Westfalen
12.02.23	TuS Erndtebrück - Finnentrop Bamenohl	3:2 ✺
05.02.23	TuS Erndtebrück - Preußen Münster 2	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Lennestadt - TuS Erndtebrück	1:2 ✺
German Oberliga Westfalen
10.12.22	Schermbeck 2020 - TuS Erndtebrück	5:1 ✺
25.11.22	Siegen - TuS Erndtebrück	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL
- ASC 09 Dortmund
German Oberliga Westfalen
11.02.23	Bövinghausen - 09 Dortmund	4:0 ✺
05.02.23	09 Dortmund - Siegen	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.23	09 Dortmund - Velbert	Canceled ✺
10.01.23	09 Dortmund - Lüner SV	5:3 ✺
German Oberliga Westfalen
10.12.22	09 Dortmund - Vreden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LW?WW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
20.11.21	TuS Erndtebrück - 09 Dortmund	0:1
08.03.20	09 Dortmund - TuS Erndtebrück	2:1
08.09.19	TuS Erndtebrück - 09 Dortmund	4:3
15.05.19	09 Dortmund - TuS Erndtebrück	3:1
16.09.18	TuS Erndtebrück - 09 Dortmund	1:0
09.04.17	TuS Erndtebrück - 09 Dortmund	3:1
09.10.16	09 Dortmund - TuS Erndtebrück	2:3

TuS Erndtebrück - 09 Dortmund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide