Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	TuS Koblenz		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.44
	5.5	4.5	1.47
	6.4	4.47	1.47
	6.4	4.47	1.46
	6.17	4.36	1.45
	5.6	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (5)	4.38 ↑ (4.16)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuS Koblenz
15.7%

Draw
21.1%

Freiberg
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22.2%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.8%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuS Koblenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuS Koblenz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

TuS Koblenz - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Kehl M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Koblenz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Freiberg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Koblenz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Freiberg is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Koblenz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Koblenz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.04.24	Astoria Walldorf - TuS Koblenz	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	TuS Koblenz - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
28.03.24	FSV Frankfurt - TuS Koblenz	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	TuS Koblenz - Bahlinger	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Schott Mainz - TuS Koblenz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.04.24	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:2 ✺
03.04.24	Homburg - Freiberg	0:3 ✺
30.03.24	Freiberg - Balingen	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Freiberg - Astoria Walldorf	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Freiberg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.10.23	Freiberg - TuS Koblenz	2:0

TuS Koblenz - Freiberg