Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	TuS Koblenz		Kickers Offenbach

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.6
	5.09	3.96	1.65
	4.9	3.99	1.64
	4.61	3.87	1.65
	5	3.9	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (6.18)	3.9 ↓ (4.57)	1.62 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TuS Koblenz
19.4%

Draw
23.6%

Kickers Offenbach
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

20%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

19.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TuS Koblenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Kickers Offenbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kickers Offenbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TuS Koblenz than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TuS Koblenz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Offenbach than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kickers Offenbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

TuS Koblenz - Kickers Offenbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Esmel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Sabani B. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Urbich J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Shaqiri E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Koblenz is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Koblenz won 2.

Koblenz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Offenbach is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Koblenz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Offenbach is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Koblenz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Koblenz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Koblenz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.04.24	Homburg - TuS Koblenz	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	TuS Koblenz - Freiberg	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Astoria Walldorf - TuS Koblenz	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	TuS Koblenz - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
28.03.24	FSV Frankfurt - TuS Koblenz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLL
- Kickers Offenbach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.04.24	Kickers Offenbach - Balingen	5:0 ✺
12.04.24	Kickers Offenbach - Homburg	3:5 ✺
06.04.24	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:2 ✺
02.04.24	Kickers Offenbach - Astoria Walldorf	5:0 ✺
30.03.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Kickers Offenbach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.10.23	Kickers Offenbach - TuS Koblenz	1:1
02.04.18	Kickers Offenbach - TuS Koblenz	2:3
08.10.17	TuS Koblenz - Kickers Offenbach	0:1
05.05.17	Kickers Offenbach - TuS Koblenz	2:0
29.10.16	TuS Koblenz - Kickers Offenbach	2:1
10.04.15	Kickers Offenbach - TuS Koblenz	3:0
27.09.14	TuS Koblenz - Kickers Offenbach	1:2

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