Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Tuilla		Roces

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.8
	1.37	4.15	7.7
	1.41	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.12 ↑ (4.1)	7.1 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuilla
65.1%

Draw
22.1%

Roces
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

22.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

16.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Roces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tuilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roces than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Tuilla - Roces Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 3 - 0, Coronel N. E. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Ferrera A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Tuilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Roces has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tuilla is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tuilla won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tuilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.03.25	Lealtad - Tuilla	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Tuilla - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Real Titánico - Tuilla	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Tuilla - San Martín	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Caudal Deportivo - Tuilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- CD Roces
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.03.25	Roces - San Martín	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Caudal Deportivo - Roces	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Roces - Condal	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Roces	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Roces - Ceares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.11.24	Roces - Tuilla	1:2
20.03.22	Tuilla - Roces	2:0
30.10.21	Roces - Tuilla	3:4
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.10.17	Roces - Tuilla	0:0

Tuilla - Roces: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide