Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Roces		Ceares

	1	X	2
	6.8	4.2	1.4
	7.89	4.17	1.35
	7.6	4.2	1.37
	6.8	4.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.27 ↑ (5.1)	4.19 ↑ (3.75)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roces
12.5%

Draw
21.7%

Ceares
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roces's form might have worsened.

Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceares's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roces than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceares, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Roces - Ceares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Roces is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ceares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceares is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Roces won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Roces won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roces
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
08.02.25	Roces - Covadonga	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	LEntregu - Roces	4:0 ✺
25.01.25	Roces - Lenense	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Avilés Stadium - Roces	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Mosconia - Roces	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTTL
- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.02.25	Ceares - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Real Oviedo B - Ceares	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ceares - Real Titánico	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Tuilla - Ceares	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ceares - San Martín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.10.24	Ceares - Roces	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.01.18	Roces - Ceares	1:2
10.09.17	Ceares - Roces	2:1

Roces - Ceares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide