Match Info

Serie D - Round 4

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Tuna Luso Brasileira		Manaus

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.31	3.13	2.94
	2.26	3.24	2.96	Watch
	2.33	3.13	2.87
	2.3	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira
40.3%

Draw
28.6%

Manaus
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuna Luso Brasileira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manaus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Alves J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Ronaldy ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Alves J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tuna Luso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tuna Luso might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Manauara - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Trem	4:2 ✺
19.04.25	Humaitá - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
12.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	1:2 penalties ✺
06.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Castanhal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Águia de Marabá - Manaus	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Manaus - Humaitá	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Trem - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
29.03.25	Nacional AM - Manaus	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Manaus - Manauara	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTLW

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manaus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide