Match Info

Serie D - Round 3

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira (Marabá)


	Águia de Marabá		Manaus

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.75	2.65	2.75
	2.72	2.42	3.09
	2.77	2.73	2.77	Watch
	2.59	3.21	2.69
	2.75	2.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.17)	2.79 ↓ (3.23)	2.78 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia de Marabá
34.4%

Draw
32.7%

Manaus
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águia de Marabá's form might have worsened.

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águia de Marabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Águia de Marabá - Manaus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Manaus (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manaus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Weverson ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Romarinho ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Serie D
27.04.25	Independência - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Águia de Marabá - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Grao Para
12.04.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	1:2 penalties ✺
06.04.25	Águia de Marabá - Bragantino do Pará	3:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
01.04.25	Paysandu - Águia de Marabá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Manaus - Humaitá	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Trem - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amazonense
29.03.25	Nacional AM - Manaus	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Manaus - Manauara	2:1 penalties ✺
19.03.25	Princesa do Solimões - Manaus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Manaus - Águia de Marabá	3:2

Águia de Marabá - Manaus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide