Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday


	Tupi MG		Boa Esporte

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.57	3.06	2.55
	2.71	2.94	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (1.93)	2.98 ↑ (2.89)	2.55 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tupi MG
34.2%

Draw
30.3%

Boa Esporte
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

31.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tupi MG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tupi MG's form might have worsened.

Boa Esporte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boa Esporte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tupi MG than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tupi MG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boa Esporte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Mineiro 2 (Final Stage: )).

Recent matches Tupi MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tupi MG won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tupi MG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tupi MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
19.05.23	Uberlândia - Tupi MG	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Tupi MG - Aymorés	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Nacional de Muriaé - Tupi MG	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Tupi MG - Varginha	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Tupynambás - Tupi MG	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWT
- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
21.05.23	Boa Esporte - União Luziense	3:3 ✺
13.05.23	North Esporte Clube - Boa Esporte	1:2 ✺
10.05.23	Aymorés - Boa Esporte	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Boa Esporte - Itabirito	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	URT - Boa Esporte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
01.06.22	Boa Esporte - Tupi MG	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
10.03.19	Boa Esporte - Tupi MG	4:1
03.03.18	Tupi MG - Boa Esporte	1:0
13.03.16	Boa Esporte - Tupi MG	0:1
11.03.15	Tupi MG - Boa Esporte	0:0

Tupi MG - Boa Esporte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide