Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Turgutlu		Orduspor 1967

	1	X	2
	3.85	4	1.69
	4.82	4.49	1.52
	4.5	4.33	1.55
	3.85	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (6.6)	4.21 ↓ (4.6)	1.61 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turgutlu
21.5%

Draw
21.8%

Orduspor 1967
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

19.8%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

18.9%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turgutlu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turgutlu's performance.

Orduspor 1967 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orduspor 1967 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turgutlu than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Turgutlu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orduspor 1967 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orduspor 1967 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Turgutlu - Orduspor 1967 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
38', 0 - 1, Sahin O. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Aydin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Koksal A. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Sahin O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs).

Turgutlu is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orduspor 1967 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Orduspor 1967 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Turgutlu have a series of home games.

In this match Orduspor 1967 is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Turgutlu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Turgutlu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 7 Eylül Turgutlu 1984 SY
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
02.04.25	Turgutlu - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Turgutlu - Denizlispor	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Turgutlu - Edirnespor Gençlik	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Sebat Gençlik - Turgutlu	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Turgutlu - Zonguldak Kömürspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLLL
- Orduspor 1967 FİSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
06.04.25	Orduspor 1967 - Sebat Gençlik	2:2 ✺
02.04.25	Orduspor 1967 - Erciyes 38	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Orduspor 1967	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Orduspor 1967 - Kırıkkale	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Orduspor 1967	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
01.12.24	Orduspor 1967 - Turgutlu	4:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
04.02.23	Orduspor 1967 - Turgutlu	2:0
24.09.22	Turgutlu - Orduspor 1967	3:0

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