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Turkey - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • World Championship - Round 3
  • Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday
  • Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)
  • Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Turkey USA
    Turkey USA
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 3.97 ↑
    (2.76)    		 4.23 ↑
    (3.78)    		 1.81 ↓
    (2.41)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Turkey
    24.2%    		Draw
    22.7%    		USA
    53.1%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    34.8% 25.4% 39.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Turkey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turkey's form might have worsened.
  • USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USA's recent form is better than expected.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    16.1% 21.5% 62.4%

    Turkey - USA Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Turkey will win (votes: 14 - 15.4%). USA will win (votes: 57 - 62.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 22%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 52.7% – 72.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 1 - 25%). USA (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Turkey (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - over (45.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Turkey (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - USA (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 5 - 55.6%). USA (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. TurkeyCakir U. (G) Galatasaray
    24. TurkeyAydin O. Fenerbahce
      2. TurkeyCelik Z. (C) AS Roma
    15. TurkeyKabak O. Hoffenheim
    14. TurkeyBardakci A. Galatasaray
    13. TurkeyElmali E. Galatasaray
      8. TurkeyGuler A. Real Madrid
      6. TurkeyKokcu O. Besiktas
      5. TurkeyOzcan S. Dortmund
    11. TurkeyYildiz K. Juventus
    21. TurkeyYilmaz B. Galatasaray
    		  1. USATurner M. (G) New England Revolution
    23. USAScally J. B. Monchengladbach
    12. USARobinson M. FC Cincinnati
    22. USAMcKenzie M. Toulouse
      6. USATrusty A. Celtic
      8. USAMcKennie W. (C) Juventus
    14. USABerhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps
      7. USAReyna G. B. Monchengladbach
    11. USAAaronson B. Leeds
      9. USAPepi R. PSV
    21. USAWeah T. Marseille
    Substitutes
    25. TurkeyAkaydin S. Rizespor
    19. TurkeyAkgun Y. Galatasaray
      7. TurkeyAkturkoglu K. Fenerbahce
    22. TurkeyAyhan K. Galatasaray
    12. TurkeyBayindir A. (G) Manchester United
    10. TurkeyCalhanoglu H. Inter
      3. TurkeyDemiral M. Al Ahli SC
      9. TurkeyGul D. FC Porto
      1. TurkeyGunok M. (G) Fenerbahce
    20. TurkeyKadioglu F. Brighton
    17. TurkeyKahveci I. Kasimpasa
    18. TurkeyMuldur M. Fenerbahce
      4. TurkeySoyuncu C. Fenerbahce
    26. TurkeyUzun C. Eintracht Frankfurt
    16. TurkeyYuksek I. Fenerbahce
    		  4. USAAdams T. Bournemouth
    18. USAArfsten M. Columbus Crew
    20. USABalogun F. Monaco
    25. USABrady C. (G) Chicago Fire
      2. USADest S. PSV
    16. USAFreeman A. Villarreal
    24. USAFreese M. (G) New York City
    10. USAPulisic C. AC Milan
    13. USAReam T. Charlotte FC
      3. USARichards C. Crystal Palace
      5. USARobinson A. Fulham
    17. USATillman M. Bayer Leverkusen
    19. USAWright H. Coventry
    26. USAZendejas A. Club America
    Coaches
         ItalyMontella V.
    		     ArgentinaPochettino M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 1)
    • 3', 0 - 1, Trusty A. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
    • 10', 1 - 1, Guler A. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
    • 19', Berhalter S. 🟨,
    • 31', 2 - 1, Yilmaz B. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 49', 2 - 2, Berhalter S. ⚽,
    • 58', Weah T. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
    • 76', Reyna G. ↓, Dest S. ↑,
    • 77', Aaronson B. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
    • 77', Scally J. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
    • 84', Celik Z. ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
    • 84', Yildiz K. ↓, Uzun C. ↑,
    • 86', McKennie W. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
    • 88', Kokcu O. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
    • 90+2', Aydin O. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
    • 90+2', Yilmaz B. ↓, Kahveci I. ↑,
    • 90+8', 3 - 2, Ayhan K. ⚽,

    Preview

  • Turkey is ranked FIFA: 22. USA is ranked FIFA: 17.
  • In this match, USA is the team to beat.
  • There are questionable in Turkey: Akgun Y. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in USA: Roldan C. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Turkey
    FIFA World Cup
    19.06.26 Turkey - Paraguay 0:1 ✺
    14.06.26 Australia - Turkey 2:0 ✺
    Friendly
    06.06.26 Venezuela - Turkey 1:2 ✺
    01.06.26 Turkey - North Macedonia 4:0 ✺
    FIFA World Cup
    31.03.26 Kosovo - Turkey 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7
    LLWWW
    - USA
    FIFA World Cup
    19.06.26 USA - Australia 2:0 ✺
    12.06.26 USA - Paraguay 4:1 ✺
    Friendly
    06.06.26 USA - Germany 1:2 ✺
    31.05.26 USA - Senegal 3:2 ✺
    31.03.26 USA - Portugal 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    WWLWL
    Latest Head to Head
    Friendly
    07.06.25 USA - Turkey 1:2
    01.06.14 USA - Turkey 2:1

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