Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
China	ZhiBo8
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Indonesia	Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	RTP 1, Sport TV1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Futbol de Primera Radio, HBO Max, NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, TNT, truTV, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	USA		Portugal

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.57	Watch
	4.95	4.25	1.58
	5.17	4.57	1.58
	5.07	4.57	1.57	Watch
	4.8	4	1.57	Watch
	5.46	4.05	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.81)	4.22 ↑ (3.73)	1.58 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
18.5%

Draw
22.2%

Portugal
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.2%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USA's form might have worsened.

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	5.3%	84.2%

USA - Portugal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Portugal (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Freese M. (G) New York City 2. Trusty A. Celtic 16. Freeman A. Villarreal 3. Richards C. (C) Crystal Palace 5. Robinson A. Fulham 23. Morris A. Middlesbrough 14. Berhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps 8. McKennie W. Juventus 17. Tillman M. Bayer Leverkusen 21. Weah T. Marseille 10. Pulisic C. AC Milan	12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 2. Dalot D. Manchester United 3. Araujo T. Benfica 14. Inacio G. Sporting CP 20. Cancelo J. Barcelona 5. Samu Costa Mallorca 23. Vitinha PSG 18. Neto P. Chelsea 8. Fernandes B. (C) Manchester United 16. Trincao Sporting CP 9. Ramos G. PSG
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. Leeds 25. Agyemang P. Derby 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 20. Balogun F. Monaco 26. Brady C. (G) Chicago Fire 22. McKenzie M. Toulouse 9. Pepi R. PSV 13. Ream T. Charlotte FC 7. Reyna G. B. Monchengladbach 4. Roldan C. Seattle Sounders 19. Scally J. B. Monchengladbach 27. Schulte P. (G) Columbus Crew 6. Tessmann T. Lyon 1. Turner M. (G) New England Revolution	26. Conceicao F. Juventus 11. Fernandes M. West Ham 19. Goncalves P. Sporting CP 7. Guedes G. Real Sociedad 24. Horta R. Braga 10. Joao Felix Al Nassr 25. Mendes N. PSG 15. Neves J. PSG 21. Neves R. Al Hilal 6. Nunes M. Manchester City 17. Paulinho Toluca 4. Silva A. Benfica 22. Silva R. (G) Sporting CP 13. Veiga R. Villarreal 1. Velho R. (G) Genclerbirligi
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Martinez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Cancelo J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Trincao ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
45+3', Pulisic C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pulisic C. ↓, Agyemang P. ↑,
46', Dalot D. ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
46', Araujo T. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
46', Cancelo J. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
46', Neto P. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
46', Vitinha ↓, Neves R. ↑,
46', Robinson A. ↓, Arfsten M. ↑,
46', Trincao ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
46', McKennie W. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
46', Samu Costa ↓, Horta R. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Joao Felix ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
61', Ramos G. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
67', Weah T. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
67', Tillman M. ↓, Scally J. ↑,
70', Inacio G. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
79', Berhalter S. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
79', Freeman A. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
79', Morris A. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,
85', Sa J. ↓, Velho R. ↑,
85', Fernandes B. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
90+2', Trusty A. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Portugal is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, USA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Friendly
28.03.26	USA - Belgium	2:5 ✺
18.11.25	USA - Uruguay	5:1 ✺
15.11.25	USA - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	USA - Australia	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	USA - Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWT
- Portugal
Friendly
28.03.26	Mexico - Portugal	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Portugal - Armenia	9:1 ✺
13.11.25	Ireland - Portugal	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Portugal - Hungary	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Portugal - Ireland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
14.11.17	Portugal - USA	1:1
FIFA World Cup
22.06.14	USA - Portugal	2:2

USA - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide