Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 14

Date: 4 July 2024, Thursday


	Turkistan		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
	6.99	4.73	1.36	Watch
	6.86	4.9	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↓ (9.05)	4.82 ↑ (4.5)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turkistan
13.2%

Draw
19%

Okzhetpes
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.1%

20.4%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.5%

19.1%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turkistan than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	16. Tolepbergen K. (G)
	9. Arsamakov S.
	7. Miroshnichenko D.
	77. Porokh Z.
	14. Serikbay A.
	35. Shamshi B.
	11. Tazhibay B.
	3. Zhaksylykov Z.
	17. Zhumabekov S.
	10. Zhumat D.
	4. Zyabko V.
Substitutes
	6. Adil O.
	20. Amirkhanov M.
	13. Gagaev I.
	23. Gorshunov E.
	27. Izbasarov N.
	44. Kadysh D.
	21. Komariden K.
	31. Podymskiy D. (G)
	8. Tuliev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Abdualiev B. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Zhaksylykov Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arsamakov S. ↓, Gagaev I. ↑,
53', Pachchakhanov D. ↓, Kaldybay Z. ↑,
53', Amanbay A. ↓, Umarov I. ↑,
63', Zhumabekov S. ↓, Gorshunov E. ↑,
63', Zhumat D. ↓, Tuliev M. ↑,
63', Porokh Z. ↓, Komariden K. ↑,
64', Abdilhai B. ↓, Bazarbay B. ↑,
64', Abzhal S. ↓, Mutali N. ↑,
70', Shamshi B. ↓, Izbasarov N. ↑,
78', Sabirzhanov K. ↓, Oksikbaev A. ↑,
88', Izbasarov N. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Gagaev I. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5).

Yassy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Okzhetpes is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yassy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Okzhetpes is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yassy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Yassy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turkistan
Kazakh First League
27.06.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Turkistan	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	SD Family - Turkistan	5:0 ✺
06.06.24	Turkistan - Akzhayik	1:1 ✺
30.05.24	Kairat 2 - Turkistan	5:1 ✺
24.05.24	Turkistan - Arys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh First League
27.06.24	Akzhayik - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Okzhetpes - Aktobe 2	1:0 ✺
14.06.24	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
07.06.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
28.08.22	Turkistan - Okzhetpes	2:3
15.05.22	Okzhetpes - Turkistan	0:1

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