Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2024, Friday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)


	Okzhetpes		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
	4.49	4.45	1.54
	4.4	4.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↓ (4.9)	4.48 ↓ (4.58)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
20.5%

Draw
20.4%

Kaspiy Aktau
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

19.9%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

19.2%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Tolepbergen K. (G) 4. Zyabko V. 15. Idrisov N. 7. Miroshnichenko D. 14. Serikbay A. 10. Zhumat D. 8. Tuliev M. 6. Adil O. 77. Porokh Z. 23. Gorshunov E. 19. Sultaniyazov Z.	35. Mokin A. (G) 14. Zaynetdinov D. 5. Taipov K. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 13. Taykenov M. 70. Tazhikenov S. 48. Zhumabay E. 7. Kabylan B. 78. Khalmatov M. 10. Konlimkos B. 47. Nusip A.
Substitutes
24. Abzhanov R. (G) 20. Amirkhanov M. 9. Arsamakov S. 13. Gagaev I. 27. Izbasarov N. 79. Kabiev K. 44. Kadysh D. 21. Komariden K. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 11. Tazhibay B. 3. Zhaksylykov Z. 17. Zhumabekov S.	1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 68. Bekeshov M. 3. Bekmyrza A. 17. Berdibek D. 8. Dmitrenko V. 66. Doronin A. 21. Marat D. 6. Saparov A. 28. Strizhkov N. 73. Toleukhanov N. 30. Zhumakhanov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Tuliev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Porokh Z. ↓, Komariden K. ↑,
58', Kabylan B. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
60', Gorshunov E. ↓, Tazhibay B. ↑,
61', Zyabko V. 🟨,
65', Sultaniyazov Z. ↓, Gagaev I. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Zhumat D. ⚽,
71', Zhumabay E. ↓, Strizhkov N. ↑,
71', Nusip A. ↓, Zhumakhanov S. ↑,
71', Konlimkos B. ↓, Toleukhanov N. ↑,
75', Tuliev M. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
75', Adil O. ↓, Izbasarov N. ↑,
82', Khalmatov M. ↓, Dmitrenko V. ↑,
88', Gagaev I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Okzhetpes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kaspiy Aktau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Okzhetpes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kaspiy Aktau is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh First League
07.06.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
31.05.24	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
23.05.24	Kyran - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
17.05.24	Arys - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Okzhetpes - Khan Tengri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLT
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
11.06.24	Akzhayik - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Khan Tengri	3:5 ✺
30.05.24	Kyran - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3 ✺
22.05.24	Kaspiy Aktau - SD Family	2:0 ✺
16.05.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.08.23	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	3:3
15.04.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1
21.11.20	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1
18.09.20	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	2:2

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