Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)


	Okzhetpes		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	6.3	Watch
	1.58	4.45	5.8
	1.3	4.84	9	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.65
	1.45	4.59	6.4	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)	4.44 ↑ (3.81)	6.33 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
64.2%

Draw
21.1%

Kaspiy Aktau
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Okzhetpes's performance.

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaspiy Aktau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Okzhetpes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Okzhetpes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Okzhetpes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 9. Borodin D. 25. Marcinho 47. Vasiljev V. 8. Buribaev N. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. (C) 17. Umarov S.	49. Andrin Y. (G) 27. Nechayev D. 14. Amaral A. 67. Kalmyrza M. 19. Taykenov M. 23. Nabikhanov A. (C) 13. Serikbay M. 9. Abylaykhan R. 7. Kabylan B. 10. Umaev I. 8. Armenov A.
Substitutes
91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 90. Sadovski U. (. 16. Shamshi B. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 4. Zyabko V.	21. Aripov D. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 29. Bekmyrza A. 15. Epton D. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 17. Klimovich V. 30. Morgado B. 11. Ndombasi N. 26. Sedko P. 93. Sylla K. 24. Zhomart D. (G)
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Esatov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kuzmichev I. ⚽, Umarov S. (A),
27', Umarov S. ↓, Mukhametkhanov Z. ↑,
34', Kuzmichev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Vasiljev V. ⚽, Buribaev N. (A),
60', Nabikhanov A. 🟨,
64', Buribaev N. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
65', Zhangylyshbay T. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
74', Nabikhanov A. ↓, Epton D. ↑,
74', Armenov A. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
77', Borodin D. ↓, Sadovski U. (. ↑,
77', Sovpel V. ↓, Ensebaev M. ↑,
80', Amaral A. ↓, Kadyrbaev E. ↑,
82', Andrin Y. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Nurgaliyev E. ⚽,
86', Abylaykhan R. 🟨,
90', Umaev I. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to Okzhetpes for this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Okzhetpes has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Okzhetpes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	29	15	6	8	45:37	8	51
10	Kaspij Aktau	29	9	6	14	31:42	-11	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
17.10.26	Okzhetpes - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ulytau - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Okzhetpes - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLW
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
18.10.26	Astana - Kaspiy Aktau	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Altai Semey	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Zhetysu - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	1:3
Kazakh First League
17.07.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	0:1
14.06.24	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.23	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	3:3
15.04.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1
21.11.20	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	2:1
18.09.20	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	2:2

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