Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Turrialba		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.55	1.89
	3.57	3.6	1.82
	3.71	3.69	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	4.11	3.34	1.9
	3.45	3.55	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.93)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	1.89 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turrialba
25.3%

Draw
26.1%

Guadalupe
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

23.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turrialba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turrialba's form might have worsened.

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guadalupe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turrialba than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turrialba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guadalupe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Turrialba - Guadalupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Guzman K. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Navarro J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Morales E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 3, Clunie G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
65', 1 - 4, Miranda R. ⚽,
81', 1 - 5, ⚽,
86', 1 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Turrialba won 1.

Turrialba has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guadalupe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guadalupe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Turrialba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:19 (average 1.3:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Turrialba won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 2.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Turrialba
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
10.02.25	Turrialba - Cariari Pococí	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Turrialba	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Turrialba - Escorpiones de Belén	3:3 ✺
25.01.25	Desamparados - Turrialba	4:2 ✺
17.01.25	Turrialba - Aserrí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLL
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Guadalupe - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
18.01.25	Guadalupe - Desamparados	0:4 ✺
23.12.24	Guadalupe - Jicaral	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.10.24	Turrialba - Guadalupe	5:1
11.09.24	Guadalupe - Turrialba	2:0
07.04.24	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:6
22.02.24	Guadalupe - Turrialba	7:0
05.11.23	Guadalupe - Turrialba	2:1
07.09.23	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:1

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