Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Grand Final - Final

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)


	Guadalupe		Desamparados

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.15	3.91
	1.96	3.3	3.98	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.93	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.26)	3.26 ↑ (3.17)	3.89 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
48.2%

Draw
28.2%

Desamparados
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalupe's performance.

Desamparados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desamparados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guadalupe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desamparados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guadalupe - Desamparados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Cordero C. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Clunie G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 4.

In recent matches, Guadalupe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Desamparados is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guadalupe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guadalupe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalupe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Desamparados - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
27.04.25	Inter San Carlos - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Guadalupe - Inter San Carlos	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Guadalupe - Aserrí	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Guadalupe	1:3 ✺
02.04.25	Guadalupe - Turrialba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
18.05.25	Inter San Carlos - Desamparados	0:1 penalties ✺
12.05.25	Desamparados - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Desamparados - Jicaral	3:1 ET ✺
01.05.25	Jicaral - Desamparados	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Desamparados - Quepos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
05.03.25	Desamparados - Guadalupe	0:1
18.01.25	Guadalupe - Desamparados	0:4
18.09.24	Guadalupe - Desamparados	2:0
02.08.24	Desamparados - Guadalupe	1:2
15.03.24	Desamparados - Guadalupe	1:2
02.02.24	Guadalupe - Desamparados	2:1
06.10.23	Guadalupe - Desamparados	2:1

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