Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 16

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Tuzlaspor		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.33	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.17	3.64	1.88
	4.39	3.69	1.83
	3.8	3.4	1.75
	4.1	3.6	1.79
	3.9	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.86)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	1.8 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzlaspor
22.4%

Draw
26.2%

Sakaryaspor
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.8%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Sakaryaspor will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Kaplan F. (G) 10. Akarslan M. 33. Akkan G. 27. Asatekin S. 3. Awuku P. 12. Ba M. 19. Ciftci H. 42. Coskun M. 4. Hasanalizada B. 28. Togui W. 8. Yahaya A.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 17. Akpinar M. 28. Del Valle Y. 33. Dikmen E. 12. Donkor I. 20. Kilic H. 8. Kurt S. 21. Roshi O. 10. Suleyman B. 5. Uzun B. 70. Yildirim O.
Substitutes
5. Ay S. 44. Bangoura S. 77. Bas S. 22. Cinar Z. 96. Giritlioglu C. 72. Keklik H. 11. Kose A. 24. Koyuncu E. (G) 21. Umar A. 75. Yagci K.	61. Cevahir B. 4. Kasongo K. 3. Menderes C. 9. Ndlovu D. 54. Okyar M. 6. Rotman R. 25. Simon N. 90. Tekogul Y. (G) 2. Ulgen A. 77. Uzun U.
Coaches
Irtegun B.	Sanli T.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Tuzlaspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sakaryaspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuzlaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sakaryaspor have a series of home games.

In this match Sakaryaspor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzlaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
09.12.23	Bodrumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Tuzlaspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Göztepe - Tuzlaspor	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Tuzlaspor - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
06.11.23	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTLWT
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
09.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Sakaryaspor - Ankaraspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
02.12.23	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:3 ✺
24.11.23	Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.11.23	Sakaryaspor - Beşiktaş	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
28.01.23	Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor	2:3
29.08.22	Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.02.20	Sakaryaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1
21.09.19	Tuzlaspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0

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