Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 11

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX


	Umraniyespor		Tuzlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.7	4.4
	1.72	4	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.84
	1.72	3.82	4.85
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.68	3.8	4.5
	1.65	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	4.54 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
55.5%

Draw
24.1%

Tuzlaspor
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Tuzlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuzlaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tuzlaspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Damlu A. (G) 90. Popov S. 97. Cavare D. 44. Glumac T. 20. Ayaroglu H. 14. Demir E. 91. Diniyev C. 11. Ayik O. 19. Nas S. 95. Bregu D. 28. Klonaridis V.	26. Kaplan F. (G) 33. Akkan G. 3. Awuku P. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 27. Asatekin S. 12. Ba M. 10. Akarslan M. 28. Togui W. 17. Yazar A. 9. Segun J. A.
Substitutes
1. Adiyaman U. (G) 17. Arici B. 16. Babacan A. 3. Cofie I. 4. Eser M. 8. Goksu S. 75. Kaplan E. 6. Mert M. 7. Okutan M. 22. Yildiz U.	44. Bangoura S. 77. Bas S. 19. Ciftci H. 42. Coskun M. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 72. Keklik H. 6. Tas M. 21. Umar A. 75. Yagci K. 8. Yahaya A.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Irtegun B.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Umraniyespor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuzlaspor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tuzlaspor have a series of home games.

In this match Umraniyespor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Umraniyespor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Umraniyespor - Orduspor 1967	5:1 ✺
Turkish First League
29.10.23	Adanaspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Umraniyespor - Manisa FK	3:2 ✺
08.10.23	Altay - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
29.09.23	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWL
- Tuzlaspor
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Tuzlaspor - Çankaya	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
28.10.23	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
01.04.22	Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor	1:1
31.10.21	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	2:1
14.03.21	Tuzlaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1
07.11.20	Umraniyespor - Tuzlaspor	1:1

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