Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Övrevi IP (Tvååker)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Tvååker		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.40	1.98
	3.05	3.4	2.05
	3.12	3.65	2.01
	3.16	3.84	2.03	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.01
	3.14	3.6	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.52)	3.53 ↓ (3.78)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tvååker
29.4%

Draw
25.6%

AFC Malmö
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

21.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tvååker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tvååker than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tvååker - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Nielsen A. (G) 9. Ajdarevic A. 24. Graudums T. 25. Gustavsson G. 3. Gustavsson V. 22. Johansson A. 16. Laci M. 15. Lundgren N. 20. Rodin H. 11. Sjoland M. 8. Wiman I.	25. Zecchin T. (G) 22. Alievski E. 24. Bohman F. 19. Fatahi M. 8. Harletun K. 2. Karim S. 7. Kohler N. 5. Larsen L. 14. Minter Wettergren L. 10. Reuterskiold A. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.
Substitutes
6. Ademi L. . Emmanuel T. 7. Gustafsson F. 32. Kaspersson M. 10. Munther L. 19. Shamoun I.	36. Bjorkqvist M. 1. Brandin O. (G) 77. Castro V. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. 11. Reinholdsson A. 99. Sener C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Gustavsson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Graudums T. 🟨,
68', Lundgren N. ↓, Ademi L. ↑,
69', Minter Wettergren L. ↓, Nouri B. ↑,
69', Kohler N. ↓, Bjorkqvist M. ↑,
88', Alievski E. ↓, Martinsson F. ↑,
88', Harletun K. ↓, Reinholdsson A. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

Tvååker is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AFC Malmö has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

AFC Malmö will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tvååker won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tvååker won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AFC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45:35	10	41
9	Tvaaker	25	9	6	10	33:39	-6	33

Last Results with these Odds

Tvååker - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 25.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tvååkers IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.09.26	Jönköpings Södra - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tvååker - Skövde AIK	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Olympic - Tvååker	3:4 ✺
15.08.26	Kristianstad - Tvååker	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Tvååker - Åtvidaberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWWL
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.09.26	AFC Malmö - Åtvidaberg	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Laholms - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	AFC Malmö - Lunds	2:5 ✺
15.08.26	Olympic - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	AFC Malmö - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
18.05.26	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	0:1
25.08.24	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	4:1
08.06.24	Tvååker - AFC Malmö	0:2
19.08.23	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	0:1
29.04.23	Tvååker - AFC Malmö	0:1

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