Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 24

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Norrby		Tvååker

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	2.02	3.44	3.55
	2.03	3.46	3.52	Watch
	2	3.57	3.46	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	3.51 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrby
46.6%

Draw
27.1%

Tvååker
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norrby's form might have worsened.

Tvååker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norrby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tvååker than the current prediction. (-4%)

Norrby - Tvååker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astor V. (G) 7. Amos P. 11. Andersson M. 14. Backlund O. 6. Bawa M. 4. Dahl L. 18. Edenvik J. 22. Helge T. 31. Olsson M. 16. Salo A. (C) 15. Yarsuvat R.	1. Svensson A. (G) 2. Ahmadi M. 13. Bryneus O. 23. Carlsson P. 24. Gustafsson F. 3. Gustavsson G. 15. Johansson N. 4. Nilsson V. (C) 10. Paulsen L. 18. Ruuska O. 11. Sjoland M.
Substitutes
9. Gustafsson O. 21. Hansen A. 13. Lundgren O. 10. Olausson L. 2. Parleholt A. 17. Spendler T. 12. Svensson T. (G)	6. Bendrik D. 22. Johansson A. 7. Johansson O. 5. Landsten K. 32. Ludvigsson E. (G) 16. Lund A. J. M. 17. Redenfors J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Ruuska O. ⚽, Bryneus O. (A),
43', Ruuska O. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Dahl L. ⚽, Helge T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Amos P. ↓, Olausson L. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Helge T. ⚽,
57', Carlsson P. 🟨,
66', Carlsson P. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
66', Paulsen L. ↓, Landsten K. ↑,
68', Andersson M. ↓, Hansen A. ↑,
72', Helge T. 🟨,
72', Gustafsson F. ↓, Bendrik D. ↑,
72', Ruuska O. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
75', Sjoland M. 🟨,
75', Edenvik J. ↓, Gustafsson O. ↑,
78', Gustavsson G. ↓, Redenfors J. ↑,
87', Bawa M. ↓, Parleholt A. ↑,
87', Backlund O. ↓, Lundgren O. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Norrby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tvååker is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Norrby will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Norrby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Norrby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norrby IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
22.09.24	Torn - Norrby	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Norrby - Onsala	3:3 ✺
09.09.24	Norrby - Falkenberg	0:1 ✺
02.09.24	Jönköpings Södra - Norrby	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Norrby - Eskilsminne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL
- Tvååkers IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
22.09.24	Tvååker - Trollhättan	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Olympic - Tvååker	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Tvååker - Rosengård 1917	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Tvååker - Eskilsminne	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
09.05.24	Tvååker - Norrby	3:0
09.09.23	Tvååker - Norrby	1:2
10.06.23	Norrby - Tvååker	2:3
29.08.16	Norrby - Tvååker	6:1
04.06.16	Tvååker - Norrby	2:1

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