Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Txantrea		Oberena

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.45	3.95
	1.78	3.52	4.16
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.44	4.23
	1.73	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	3.44 ↑ (3.44)	4.15 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
51.8%

Draw
26.4%

Oberena
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

29%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Oberena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Txantrea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Txantrea - Oberena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Txantrea is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Txantrea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.12.25	Izarra - Txantrea	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Txantrea - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Aoiz - Txantrea	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Pamplona - Txantrea	5:0 ✺
16.11.25	Txantrea - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLT
- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.12.25	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cirbonero - Oberena	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Oberena - Artajonés	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Subiza - Oberena	4:0 ✺
15.11.25	Oberena - San Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.04.24	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2
02.12.23	Oberena - Txantrea	1:1
04.03.23	Oberena - Txantrea	4:0
06.11.22	Txantrea - Oberena	0:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.09.17	Oberena - Txantrea	2:1

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