FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 18
Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)
Tyumen
Alania Vladikavkaz
1
X
2
2.39
3.53
2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.39 ↓ (2.66)
3.53 ↑ (3.35)
2.64 ↑ (2.28)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tyumen 38.7%
Draw 26.2%
Alania Vladikavkaz 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
26.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
27.3%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyumen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+5%)
Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Yanovich N. (G) 11. Babaev V. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 5. Gurenko E. 20. Khabibov A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. (C) 90. Shakuro P. 17. Shitov V. 97. Talikin D. 4. Zakharov G.
1. Byazrov D. (G) 99. Abdulkhamidov M. 14. Amiraliev A. 7. Dibirov I. 4. Kachmazov S. 76. Karkuzaev G. 8. Khugaev A. (C) 18. Kobesov D. 75. Ogoev S. 55. Ramonov Z. 9. Zakirov A. M.
Substitutes
99. Abakumov M. 74. Anoshin A. 69. Dernov A. 95. Edapin M. (G) 47. Frolov Y. 77. Galstyan G. 24. Grinwald V. 35. Kokarev V. 25. Kulaev M. 8. Pyatkin I. 96. Rukas T.
71. Byazrov A. 77. Dzestelov A. 35. Kasaev S. 21. Kozyrev A. 89. Shashlov D. (G) 57. Tepsikoev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Abdulkhamidov M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Shitov V. ⚽,
30', Petrov M. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Petrov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Babaev V. ↓, Anoshin A. ↑,
57', Karkuzaev G. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Abdulkhamidov M. ⚽,
66', Kobesov D. 🟨,
68', Dibirov I. ↓, Tepsikoev D. ↑,
69', Ogoev S. ↓, Dzestelov A. ↑,
69', Kobesov D. ↓, Kozyrev A. ↑,
69', Kachmazov S. ↓, Byazrov A. ↑,
80', Ramonov Z. ↓, Kasaev S. ↑,
87', Maryanov A. ↓, Galstyan G. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Fall Season: )).
Alania is Qualified for FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Fall Season )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 2.
Tyumen has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Alania has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tyumen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).