Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Tyumen		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.25
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.35	3.15
	2.06	3.34	3.06
	2.05	3.48	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.68)	3.39 ↓ (3.63)	3.25 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
45.8%

Draw
26.5%

Volga Ulyanovsk
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

17.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tyumen's form might have worsened.

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tyumen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+4%)

Tyumen - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Tyumen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Volga Ulyanovsk in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Tyumen is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
05.10.21	Tyumen - Chelyabinsk	3:0 ✺
30.09.21	Zvezda Perm - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Tyumen	0:4 ✺
18.09.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Tyumen - Ural 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWTW
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
05.10.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
30.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Irtysh Omsk	6:1 ✺
27.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Barnaul	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
12.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zvezda Perm	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
04.04.21	Tyumen - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0
18.10.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - Tyumen	0:1
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
29.09.19	Tyumen - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1
24.07.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Tyumen	1:0

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