Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 11

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday


	Tzeirey Tayibe		Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.1
	3.22	3.2	2.16
	3.2	3.25	2.1
	3.2	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.74)	3.24 ↑ (3)	2.12 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirey Tayibe
28.5%

Draw
28.2%

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirey Tayibe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirey Tayibe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tzeirey Tayibe won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tzeirey Tayibe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tzeirey Tayibe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirey Tayibe
Israeli Liga Alef North
15.01.24	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1 ✺
05.01.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:1 ✺
29.12.23	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1 ✺
25.12.23	Tzeirey Tayibe - Hapoel Kaukab	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tayibe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TWTTL
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
12.01.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	3:1 ✺
05.01.24	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	2:2 ✺
22.12.23	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0 ✺
19.12.23	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
27.01.23	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Tayibe	2:0
23.09.22	Tzeirey Tayibe - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	3:1
14.01.22	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:4
17.09.21	Tzeirey Tayibe - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:1
08.03.21	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Tzeirey Tayibe	0:0
27.11.20	Tzeirey Tayibe - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:2

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