Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye		Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.45	3.15
	2.1	3.53	3	Watch
	2.03	3.38	3.19
	2.12	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	3.06 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
44%

Draw
26.3%

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Adawi A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Milad S. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Tshuva A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 2.

Baqa al-Gharbiyye is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baqa al-Gharbiyye is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Baqa al-Gharbiyye won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	H. Migdal HaEmek	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
10	Ironi Baka	6	1	2	3	8:10	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye
Israeli Liga Alef North
09.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Araba	5:4 ✺
06.01.26	MS Tira - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
15.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTT
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.01.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:2 ✺
31.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - MS Tira	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
05.09.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:0
03.01.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2
15.03.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:2
22.12.23	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:0
03.03.23	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	0:2
31.10.22	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:1
25.03.22	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:1

Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide