Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday


	Türkspor Dortmund		Schalke 04 II

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.77
	3.4	4.1	1.85
	3.35	4.46	1.78
	3.41	4.44	1.76	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.73
	3.63	4.1	1.73
	3.4	4.1	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.99)	4.13 ↑ (3.71)	1.78 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Türkspor Dortmund
26.5%

Draw
22.2%

Schalke 04 II
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

24.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

24.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Türkspor Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Schalke 04 II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schalke 04 II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Türkspor Dortmund than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 II than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schalke 04 II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Türkspor Dortmund - Schalke 04 II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Toure T. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Breuer S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 3, Ben Balla Y. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Türkspor Dortmund is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Schalke 04 II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Schalke 04 II is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Türkspor Dortmund
German Regionalliga West
09.11.24	Düren - Türkspor Dortmund	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Türkspor Dortmund - Bocholt	2:4 ✺
26.10.24	Rödinghausen - Türkspor Dortmund	4:2 ✺
11.10.24	Wiedenbrück - Türkspor Dortmund	4:2 ✺
05.10.24	Türkspor Dortmund - Fortuna Köln	Fortuna Koln awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLL?
- Schalke 04 II
German Regionalliga West
08.11.24	Schalke 04 II - Paderborn II	0:4 ✺
02.11.24	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Schalke 04 II	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Schalke 04 II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Schalke 04 II - Gütersloh	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

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