Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 5

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.25
	2.42	3.65	2.35
	2.31	3.8	2.45
	2.66	4.06	2.15	Watch
	2.34	3.66	2.44	Watch
	2.45	3.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.48)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
37%

Draw
24.1%

Noteć Czarnków
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

24.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Tłuchowia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Noteć Czarnków has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	ŁKS Łomża - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:4 ✺
09.08.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Noteć Czarnków - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Noteć Czarnków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWTT

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