Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 19

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Zawisza Bydgoszcz

	1	X	2
	7.7	4.95	1.29
	8.13	5.05	1.28
	8.22	5.05	1.29	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.3
	7.15	4.85	1.36	Watch
	5.75	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.58 ↑ (5.3)	4.82 ↑ (4.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
12%

Draw
18.9%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

19.8%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

18.4%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zawisza Bydgoszcz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Zawisza Bydgoszcz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zawisza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Zawisza (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zawisza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zawisza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tłuchowia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zawisza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zawisza is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tłuchowia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Unia Swarzędz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Noteć Czarnków - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Flota Świnoujście - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTLL
- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.03.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Września - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
04.03.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	4:0

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