Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Uşakspor		Fethiyespor

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.68
	4.33	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.3	3.51	1.78
	4.3	3.51	1.78
	4.25	3.6	1.7
	4.2	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.82)	3.6 ↓ (4)	1.73 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uşakspor
21.6%

Draw
25.4%

Fethiyespor
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

22.7%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

22.2%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uşakspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fethiyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fethiyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uşakspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fethiyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Uşakspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fethiyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fethiyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fethiyespor is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fethiyespor to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Uşakspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Uşakspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uşakspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	24 Erzincanspor - Uşakspor	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Uşakspor - Etimesgut	0:1 ✺
18.10.23	Arnavutköy - Uşakspor	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Uşakspor - Isparta 32 Spor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
11.10.23	Uşakspor - Aliaga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fethiyespor
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Fethiyespor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	Fethiyespor - Iskenderunspor	4:3 ✺
22.10.23	Aksaray Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	1:2 ✺
18.10.23	Fethiyespor - Düzcespor	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Sarıyer - Fethiyespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
19.04.23	Uşakspor - Fethiyespor	2:0
13.11.22	Fethiyespor - Uşakspor	0:2

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