Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	U Craiova 1948		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.55
	2.02	3.33	3.99
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.98	3.42	3.78	Watch
	2.07	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.45)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	3.63 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

U Craiova 1948
46.1%

Draw
28.2%

Petrolul Ploieşti
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

U Craiova 1948 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in U Craiova 1948's performance.

Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petrolul Ploieşti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for U Craiova 1948 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with U Craiova 1948 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrolul Ploieşti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

U Craiova 1948 - Petrolul Ploieşti Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. U Craiova 1948 will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Ploiesti will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for U Craiova 1948: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Gurau I. C. (G) 2. Negru R. 18. Compagnucci G. 4. Lacroix L. 72. Padula A. 6. Achim V. (C) 30. Van Durmen B. 51. Sidibe S. 10. Bauza J. 15. Blidar A. 11. Chitu A.	38. Zima L. (G) 3. Meijers B. 34. Garutti 2. Huja M. 5. Ticu V. (C) 44. Dumitriu L. 11. Seto T. 6. Jefferson 99. Musi A. 7. Grozav G. 8. Jair
Substitutes
8. Albu D. 24. Baeten W. 99. Blanuta V. 79. Buta G. 14. Henriques D. 9. Ibrahim J. 16. Mascarenhas M. 1. Mogosanu S. (G) 23. Pop V.	23. Abuashvili G. 12. Esanu M. (G) 93. Mitrov Z. 9. Omrani B. 13. Raducan I. 22. Radu D. 41. Radulescu M. 10. Roman M. 14. Vraciu D.
Coaches
Costantino G.	Pirvu F.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches U Craiova 1948 won 1.

U Craiova 1948 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ploiesti is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

U Craiova 1948 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches U Craiova 1948 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams U Craiova 1948 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC U Craiova 1948
Romanian SuperLiga
15.12.23	Voluntari - U Craiova 1948	0:1 ✺
11.12.23	U Craiova 1948 - Botoșani	2:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
07.12.23	U Craiova 1948 - FCSB	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
03.12.23	Universitatea Cluj - U Craiova 1948	2:1 ✺
27.11.23	U Craiova 1948 - Sepsi OSK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Romanian SuperLiga
15.12.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Rapid Bucureşti	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Farul Constanța - Petrolul Ploieşti	3:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
07.12.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	2:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.23	Voluntari - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:0 ✺
24.11.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Botoșani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
18.08.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - U Craiova 1948	4:3
31.03.23	U Craiova 1948 - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1
18.12.22	Petrolul Ploieşti - U Craiova 1948	1:1
Romanian Cup
06.12.22	Petrolul Ploieşti - U Craiova 1948	0:1
Romanian SuperLiga
19.08.22	U Craiova 1948 - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:1
Romanian Cup
21.09.21	Petrolul Ploieşti - U Craiova 1948	0:1
Romanian Division 2
25.10.20	Petrolul Ploieşti - U Craiova 1948	0:1

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