Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Birsan M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 1


	U Craiova 1948		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.77
	4	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4.25	3.92	1.81
	4.25	3.92	1.79
	4	3.6	1.75
	4.02	3.76	1.82	Watch
	3.9	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.38)	3.71 ↑ (3.28)	1.79 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

U Craiova 1948
22.9%

Draw
25.1%

Universitatea Craiova
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

U Craiova 1948 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitatea Craiova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for U Craiova 1948 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitatea Craiova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	7.1%	92.9%

U Craiova 1948 - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Popa R. (G) 72. Padula A. 18. Compagnucci G. 4. Lacroix L. 16. Mascarenhas M. 6. Achim V. (C) 8. Albu D. 24. Baeten W. 10. Bauza J. 28. Bahassa Y. 11. Chitu A.	21. Popescu L. (G) 23. Capatina M. 6. Screciu V. 15. Badelj J. 11. Bancu N. 4. Cretu A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 8. Mateiu A. 10. Baiaram S. 20. Markovic J. 28. Mitrita A.
Substitutes
99. Blanuta V. 15. Blidar A. 7. Dragu A. 50. Gurau I. C. (G) 9. Ibrahim J. 5. Kvakic A. 3. Lekiatas R. 2. Negru R. 23. Pop V. 51. Sidibe S.	24. Blesa J. 22. Cimpanu G. 37. Danciu M. 38. Goga M. (G) 9. Ivan A. 19. Koljic E. 7. Kozulj Z. 3. Maldonado D. 34. Raul Silva 18. Soiri P. 2. Vladoiu S. 26. Zajkov G.
Coaches
Napoli N.	Petev I.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group: )).

U Craiova 1948 is Liga 1 (Relegation Group )

Universitatea Craiova is Qualified for Liga 1 (Championship Group )

U Craiova 1948 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universitatea Craiova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

U Craiova 1948 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Universitatea Craiova will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches U Craiova 1948 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams U Craiova 1948 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC U Craiova 1948
Romanian SuperLiga
02.03.24	UTA Arad - U Craiova 1948	3:2 ✺
27.02.24	U Craiova 1948 - Politehnica Iași	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Hermannstadt - U Craiova 1948	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	U Craiova 1948 - CFR Cluj	1:3 ✺
09.02.24	Oţelul Galaţi - U Craiova 1948	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
04.03.24	Universitatea Craiova - Rapid Bucureşti	1:1 ✺
29.02.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	2:3 ✺
26.02.24	Universitatea Craiova - Voluntari	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Botoșani - Universitatea Craiova	2:2 ✺
09.02.24	Universitatea Craiova - Universitatea Cluj	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
04.11.23	Universitatea Craiova - U Craiova 1948	1:1
03.12.22	Universitatea Craiova - U Craiova 1948	0:2
07.08.22	U Craiova 1948 - Universitatea Craiova	1:2
14.02.22	Universitatea Craiova - U Craiova 1948	2:0
03.10.21	U Craiova 1948 - Universitatea Craiova	0:2

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