Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.4
	1.53	3.66	6.91
	1.67	3.30	5.54	Watch
	1.51	3.58	7.09
	2.05	3.25	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.06)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	5.28 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
54.1%

Draw
27.9%

Antoniano
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antoniano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antoniano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

UCAM Murcia - Antoniano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - UCAM Murcia (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: UCAM Murcia will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): UCAM Murcia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. UCAM Murcia (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

UCAM Murcia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Antoniano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, UCAM Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Melilla - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Hércules	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWLLW
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Antoniano - Real Jaén	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Xerez CD - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Antoniano - Union Malacitano	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.25	Antoniano - Dos Hermanas	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1
17.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	2:1
11.02.24	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0
01.10.23	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	1:0

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