Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 2

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.03	12.22	25.00	Watch
	1.73	3.28	5.01
	1.7	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)	5.03 ↑ (3.32)	8.91 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
67.2%

Draw
21%

Lorca Deportiva
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.4%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Alvarito ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Javi Ramirez ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 2 - 1, Fernandez S. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of UCAM Murcia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, UCAM Murcia has had a series of home games.

In this match, UCAM Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.09.25	Melilla - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Hércules	2:3 ✺
20.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Intercity	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Eldense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.05.25	Lorca Deportiva - Bullense	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Bala Azul - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Lorca Deportiva - Alcantarilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.02.21	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	1:2
29.11.20	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	0:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.02.18	Lorca Deportiva - UCAM Murcia	1:0
08.10.17	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0

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