The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés Promesas 77.9%
Draw 12.2%
Anguiano 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
22.3%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
20.7%
13%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Logroñés Promesas's performance.
Anguiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés Promesas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
UD Logroñés Promesas - Anguiano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Saenz D. ⚽,
13', 2 - 1, Ibanez C. ⚽,
20', 3 - 1, Saenz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 4 - 1, ⚽,
69', 5 - 1, ⚽,
87', 6 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD L Promesas won 4.
UD L Promesas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Anguiano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, UD L Promesas is the clear favorite.
We predict that UD L Promesas will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, UD L Promesas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, UD L Promesas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Anguiano
5
1
2
2
5:6
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
UD Logroñés Promesas - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.74%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.