Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.6	3.05	2.02
	3.34	2.96	2.27
	3.24	3.15	2.17
	3.25	3.05	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.8)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	2.15 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
27.6%

Draw
30%

Tarazona
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tarazona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tarazona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD Logroñés Promesas - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

UD Logroñés Promesas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tarazona is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tarazona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tarazona will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tarazona to win the game is with odds 2.12.

Last 1 head-to-head matches UD Logroñés Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.02.23	Izarra - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Sestao - UD Logroñés Promesas	6:0 ✺
05.02.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Racing Rioja - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.02.23	Tarazona - Alfaro	6:1 ✺
18.02.23	Utebo - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Beasain - Tarazona	1:2
05.02.23	Tarazona - Izarra	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Tudelano - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.10.22	Tarazona - UD Logroñés Promesas	5:0

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